Ukwenyuka okukhulu kwentengo kawoyela okubangelwe yingxabano e-Iran (efinyelela ngaphezu kwama-$100 ngomgqomo ngoMashi 2026) kube nomthelela ophindwe kathathu embonini yokuthwala izimpahla (ikakhulukazi ebhizinisini lethu lokuthumela ngaphandle izimpahla zangaphandle).ibhereyitha yebhulokhi yomcamelo): ukwenyuka kwezindleko, ukwehluka kwesidingo, kanye nengcindezi kwezokuthutha. Kuyancipha esikhathini esifushane futhi kunamathuba esakhiwo esikhathini esiphakathi kuya kweside.
1. Uhlangothi lwezindleko: Ukwanda okuqondile, inzuzo encishisiwe
1. Izindleko zamandla namakhemikhali zikhuphukile; ukusetshenziswa kwamandla/igesi kuibhereukukhiqizwa (ukwakha, ukwelashwa kokushisa, ukugaya) kuphezulu; amanani kawoyela akhuphukayo → amanani kagesi negesi nawo akhuphuka ngasikhathi sinye, okuholela ekukhuleni kwezindleko zamandla okukhiqiza ngo-5% kuya ku-12%.
Izinto zokugcoba, izivalo, kanye nezihlukanisi zepulasitiki zenziwe ngokuqondile ngezinto eziphuma kuphethiloli: amanani kawoyela oyisisekelo, irabha, kanye nenayiloni akhuphukile, kanti izindleko zokuvala kanye nezingxenye zokugcoba zikhuphuke ngo-10% kuya ku-20%.
2. Ukwanda okungaqondile kwezinto zokusetshenziswa (insimbi)
Ukuncibilikisa insimbi ethwalayo kudinga amandla amaningi; intengo kawoyela ekhuphukayo → izindleko ezikhuphukile zama-alloy, i-chromium, i-molybdenum, kanye ne-nickel → izindleko eziphakeme zensimbi ethwalayo kanye nensimbi ekhethekile.
Izinto zokusetshenziswa zibiza u-60% noma ngaphezulu wezindleko zama-bearing; ngokukhuphuka ngakunye kwe-10% kwentengo yensimbi, izindleko zama-bearing zikhuphuka ngo-5% kuya ku-8%.
3. Ukwenyuka kwezindleko zezokuthutha (indawo ethinteke kakhulu kwezohwebo lwangaphandle)
Ukwanda okusheshayo kwezindleko ezengeziwe zikaphethiloli zokuthutha ngemikhumbi kanye nezindiza: Izimpahla emzileni waseMpumalanga Ephakathi zikhuphuke ngo-30% zaya ku-80%, futhi umjikelezo wokulethwa kwezimpahla uye wanda.
Sithumela kwamanye amazwe amabheringi ayindilinga anezihlalo: Izindleko zokuthutha ezikhuphukile zokuhweba ngaphesheya kwemingcele, umjikelezo wokulethwa ongazinzile.
II. Uhlangothi Lwesidingo: Oluhluke Ngokucacile (Oluhle/Olubi)
Okubi: Isidingo esibuthakathaka esingaphansi komfula
Imishini ejwayelekile, izindwangu, imboni elula, imishini yezolimo evamile: Izindleko eziphansi, amanani kawoyela → Izinga lika-开工 ↓， ama-oda ayancipha.
Izimoto, imishini yokwakha esezingeni eliphansi: Amanani aphezulu kawoyela anciphisa ukutshalwa kwezimali → Ukusekelwa kwamabhereyitha ezingxenyeni zamabhereyitha kuyehlisa ijubane.
Imakethe yaseMpumalanga Ephakathi/e-Iran： Isiyaluyalu esimweni → I-oda liyama, ubunzima bokuqoqa, izithiyo zokulethwa.
Okuhle: Imikhakha ekhula kakhulu
Imishini kaphethiloli (ukubhoboza/ukukhiqiza/ukuthuthwa kwamapayipi): Amanani aphezulu kaphethiloli → Izindleko ezinkulu ↑, isidingo samabheringi emishini kaphethiloli, amabheringi ephampu yodaka, amabheringi eyunithi yokupompa sikhula kakhulu.
Ukumba/insimbi/ukuthutha okunzima: Amanani kawoyela → Amanani amaminerali ↑ → Isidingo semishini yokumba, amabheringi omshini webhande (iphuzu lakho eliqinile) ↑.
Amandla omoya/amandla amasha: Amanani aphezulu kawoyela aphoqelela ukusheshiswa kwamandla amasha → Ukuthwala komoya, ama-oda ama-bearings emishini yamandla amasha ↑.
Ezempi/ukwakhiwa kwemikhumbi: Ukungezwani kwezepolitiki → Ama-bearings ezempi, isidingo sama-bearings asemanzini sikhula kancane kancane.
III. Umthelela Oqondile Kuma-Self-Braceball Bearings (Umkhiqizo Wakho Oyinhloko)
Izindleko: Insimbi + ukuvala + ukugcoba + amandla + izinto zokuthutha zonke ziyakhuphuka, intengo yefektri iphoqelekile ukwanda ngo-5% kuya ku-12%.
Isidingo
Isidingo Esiqinile: Imishini yebhande lokumba, imishini kaphethiloli, imishini yezolimo esindayo, ama-turbine omoya (isicelo sakho esiwusizo).
Isidingo esibuthakathaka: Imishini yokudla, izindwangu ezivamile, ezokuthutha zemboni elula (ezingabizi kakhulu). Ukuhweba Kwangaphandle
IYurophu/iNyakatho Melika: Ingcindezi yokwehla kwamandla emali → Ukuxoxisana kuba nzima, imigomo yokukhokha iyandiswa.
IMpumalanga Ephakathi: Ukumiswa kwama-oda, ukuphazamiseka kwempahla, izingozi zokuqoqwa.
I-ASEAN/Russia/Central Asia: Iphephile kakhulu, ingadlulisela ama-oda. Ukuncintisana
Izimboni ezincane neziphakathi nendawo: Azikwazi ukuthwala izindleko → ukunciphisa ukukhiqiza/ukuphuma.
Amafektri amakhulu: Anekhono lokudlulisa izindleko → ukwandisa isabelo semakethe.
IV. Amasu angasetshenziswa yifektri ethwala ukuhweba kwamanye amazwe ngo-2026
1. Ukulawulwa kwezindleko
Yakha izinkontileka zesikhathi eside bese uvala amanani nemishini yensimbi/abaphakeli bamakhemikhali.
Ukonga amandla ngenqubo: nciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwamandla ekwelashweni/ekugayweni kokushisa, sebenzisa izithambisi ezinomfutho ophansi.
Lungiselela ukupakisha/ukuhlanganisa: nciphisa izindleko zokuthutha zeyunithi.
2. Imikhiqizo kanye Namanani
Beka phambili ukuphakelwa kwemikhiqizo emikhakheni esezingeni eliphezulu njengezimayini/uphethiloli/abalandeli/imishini yezolimo enzima.
Lungisa amanani kancane kancane ngamaqoqo (5% - 8%), kanye nezincazelo zezindleko ezinamathiselwe.
Yethula izivalo ezingabizi/amamodeli alula ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nezidingo zamakhasimende aqaphela intengo.
3. Imakethe nama-oda
Ukuncipha kwezimakethe ezisengozini enkulu eMpumalanga Ephakathi, okushintsha ama-oda aye e-ASEAN, eRussia, e-Asia Ephakathi, naseLatin America.
Nikeza izaphulelo ezilinganiselwe kumakhasimende esikhathi eside ukuze uvale ama-oda futhi uzinzise ukuhamba kwemali.
Nweba imishini kawoyela, imishini yokumba iphele ngamakhasimende.
4. Ukuvikela Ingozi
Imigomo yokuxhumanisa intengo ye-oda/yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe.
Imizila eminingi yokuthumela njengezindlela ezihlukile, bhukha kusenesikhathi.
Khulisa kancane inani lamamodeli asetshenziswa njalo ukuze ugweme ukuphazamiseka kokunikezwa.
V. Isifinyezo (umusho owodwa)
Ukwenyuka kwezindleko zesikhathi esifushane, ingcindezi yenzuzo, izingozi eMpumalanga Ephakathi; isikhathi esiphakathi nesikhathi eside esilungele uphethiloli/izimayini/ama-bearings aqinile (amandla akho ezindaweni ezingenalutho eziyindilinga), ukusheshisa ukuhlanganiswa kwemboni, kanye nabadlali abanamandla abakhulisa isabelo sabo semakethe.